Armed conflicts and child nutritional health outcomes: evidence from the Fulani ethnic militia (FEM) conflict in Nigeria

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Date
2026
Authors
Amaka Nnaji
Olukorede Abiona
Omoniyi Alimi
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AERC
Abstract
Increasing violent conflict has resulted in population displacement and the destruction of livelihoods, thereby hindering economic growth. This study estimates the association between early exposure to Fulani ethnic militia (FEM) conflicts and subsequent child health outcomes in Nigeria. Using nationally representative Nigerian General Household Survey data merged with georeferenced FEM conflict data, the study shows that contemporaneous exposure to FEM conflict is strongly associated with declining child health – measured in terms of WAZ (short-term measure) or HAZ (long-term measure). We also find that in-utero exposure to FEM conflict is weakly associated with declining long-term child health but not with short-term child health. Specifically, this effect is more severe in rural areas compared to urban areas. Furthermore, girls are more affected by contemporaneous FEM conflict exposure in the long-term health outcome, and boys are more susceptible to FEM conflict exposure in the short-term health outcome. Older children are more negatively affected by contemporaneous FEM conflict exposure. Agricultural productivity, food security, and access to sanitary toilet facilities appear to be the primary underlying channels of the estimated effects. Results are robust to including other conflict measures and variations in weather patterns. Findings highlight the need for conflict prevention and peacebuilding efforts to resolve conflicts between farmers and herders
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