(African Economic Research Consortium, 2021-09-23) Fisker, Peter; Tarp, Finn
This study provides a framework for examining the effects of climate change on
poverty in sub-Saharan Africa. It presents and combines the most recent data on
poverty and climate projections at the subnational level, and finds that, i) current
levels of poverty and current climate are not correlated in any meaningful way,
ii) poorer districts are exposed to larger projected increases in temperatures and
precipitation than richer areas when looking at within-country variation. While
this exposure will likely amplify the effects of climate change on poverty, overall
vulnerability to climate change decreases through poverty reduction.