Exchange rate policy and price determination in Botswana

dc.contributor.authorAta, Jacob K.
dc.contributor.authorJeferis, Keith R.
dc.contributor.authorManathoko, Ita
dc.contributor.authorSiwawa-Ndai, Pelani
dc.date.accessioned2019-02-16T16:41:17Z
dc.date.available2019-02-16T16:41:17Z
dc.date.issued1999-03
dc.descriptionHG 3984.9 1999en_US
dc.description.abstractThedominantinfluenceofSouthAfricangodsontheBotswanaCPIbasketleadstothe expectationthatSouthAfricanpriceshaveasignificantroleindeterminingpricesin Botswana.ThispaperexaminesBotswana'spriceandinflationrelationshipsandtheir interaction.Cointegrationanalysisisusedtodevelopadynamicerorcorectionmodel that establishes the link between long-run equilibrium prices and short-run inflation. Results show that the exchange rate(andSouthAfricanprices), rather than money, are cointegrated with prices, supporting theoretical predictions of a dominant long-run equilibrium relationship between prices and the exchange rate in a pegged exchange rate regime with capital controls. In the short run, both domestic prices and imported inflationary pressures determine growth in the price level each month. This suggests that monetary, exchange rate and fiscal policy can be used to temper inflation in the short run. Changes in the exchange rate and prices will only have short-term price competitiveness effects, however. Overtimeadjustmentbacktotheequilibriumreal exchange rate occurs.en_US
dc.description.sponsorshipAERCen_US
dc.identifier.urihttps://publication.aercafricalibrary.org/handle/123456789/33
dc.publisherThe African Economic Research Consortiumen_US
dc.subjectExchange Rateen_US
dc.subjectEconomic Policyen_US
dc.subjectBotswanaen_US
dc.titleExchange rate policy and price determination in Botswanaen_US
dc.title.alternativeResearch Publication 93en_US
dc.typeArticleen_US
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